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simulation

03/05/2020 / By Mike Adams

ALERT: Pandemic projection model shows 2.16 million deaths in USA by July 4th if nothing done to halt nearly all domestic travel (air, rail and roads)

Today I finished tweaking the first draft of a pandemic projection model that simulates the spread of the coronavirus in the United States. The assumptions of the model are explained here, and you will find they are extremely conservative (using R0 value of just 1.82, for example). The model’s predictions are nothing short of apocalyptic […]

01/25/2020 / By Ethan Huff

Computer simulation suggests 65 million people could die from Chinese coronavirus

A few months ago, a scientist at the Johns Hopkins Centre for Health Security just so happened to create a computer model mapping the potential global impact of a hypothetical disease outbreak almost exactly like the one that’s right now happening with Chinese coronavirus (2019-nCoV). What it determined, shockingly, is that as many as 65 […]

08/01/2018 / By Isabelle Z.

The next global pandemic could wipe out nearly a billion people, computer simulation finds

Researchers from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security designed a frighteningly realistic scenario to see how prepared the government is for a global pandemic, and the exercise showed how woefully unprepared we are for such a situation. The researchers came up with a scenario that included a disease that could realistically exist and tested […]

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